Trump Holds 2-Point Lead Over Clinton As Election Day Arrives: Final IBD-TIPP Poll Results

ibdPOLL RESULTS FOR 11/8/2016. The IBD/TIPP poll — a collaboration between Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence (TIPP) — has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections.

The latest results for the IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll will be released each morning by 6 a.m. (ET)

Results based on survey of 1107 likely voters conducted from 11/4 – 11/7. Margin of error: +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party identification breakdown:(Unweighted) 361 Democrats/367 Republicans/362 Independents; (Weighted) 361/333/381. Results in table above are based on weighted sample. IBD’s polling partner TechnoMetrica uses “traditional” telephone methodology using live interviewers for data collection for its public opinion surveys. Roughly 65% of interviews come from a cell phone sample and 35% from a Random Digit Dial (RDD) land line sample.

Final IBD/TIPP Poll Results

Trump Holds 2-Point Lead Over Clinton As Election Day Arrives: IBD/TIPP Poll

IBD/TIPP FINAL RESULTS (‘Not Sure’ Allocated) Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other Not Sure
43.4% 45.0% 7.6% 2.0% 2.0%
Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other Not Sure
OVERALL 41.2% 42.7% 7.1% 1.9% 2.0% 5.0%
Region
Northeast 49% 39% 5% 2% 1% 4%
Midwest 38% 48% 8% 2% 4%
South 39% 47% 6% 1% 1% 5%
West 41% 32% 10% 3% 7% 7%
Age
18-44 41% 35% 13% 3% 4% 5%
45-64 38% 49% 5% 2% 1% 5%
65+ 48% 44% 2% 1% 0% 5%
Gender
Male 38% 46% 8% 1% 2% 5%
Female 44% 40% 6% 2% 2% 5%
Race
White 34% 51% 8% 1% 1% 4%
Black/Hispanic 64% 13% 5% 3% 5% 10%
Income
Under 30K 48% 32% 9% 2% 5% 5%
30K-50K 44% 38% 7% 4% 1% 6%
50-75K 37% 44% 10% 2% 1% 6%
75K+ 41% 49% 6% 1% 1% 2%
Education
High School 44% 44% 2% 3% 2% 5%
Some College 32% 50% 11% 1% 1% 5%
College Degree or more 44% 40% 7% 2% 2% 5%
Party
Democrats 86% 7% 0% 3% 1% 3%
Republicans 6% 85% 5% 1% 3%
Ind./Other 31% 39% 16% 3% 4% 8%
Ideology
Conservative 14% 77% 5% 1% 1% 3%
Moderate 50% 28% 11% 1% 4% 6%
Liberal 80% 4% 4% 5% 2% 4%
Investor
Yes 42% 48% 5% 2% 1% 3%
No 42% 37% 10% 3% 2% 6%
Area Type
Urban 56% 25% 4% 3% 4% 8%
Suburban 42% 42% 9% 2% 2% 4%
Rural 29% 58% 7% 2% 1% 4%
Parental Status
Parents 38% 43% 9% 2% 3% 5%
Non-Parents 43% 42% 7% 2% 2% 5%
White
White men 31% 53% 9% 1% 1% 4%
White women 37% 48% 8% 2% 2% 3%
Black/Hispanic
Black 78% 8% 2% 3% 9%
Hispanic 39% 23% 13% 6% 9% 10%
Women
Single women 52% 26% 6% 4% 4% 7%
Married women 38% 49% 7% 1% 1% 4%
Household Description
Upper/Upper Middle 43% 44% 7% 0% 2% 3%
Middle 41% 42% 7% 3% 1% 6%
Working 42% 43% 7% 1% 3% 3%
Lower 30% 41% 3% 5% 19% 2%
Religion
Protestant 33% 53% 7% 2% 0% 4%
Catholic 48% 41% 4% 2% 1% 4%
Other 40% 45% 7% 5% 4%
None 55% 22% 11% 4% 3% 5%
Union Household
Yes 48% 41% 3% 2% 1% 4%
No 40% 43% 8% 2% 2% 5%
Two-candidate question Clinton Trump Other Not sure
OVERALL 43.3% 42.3% 5.3% 9.0%
Intensity of Support Strong Moderate
Clinton 63% 37%
Trump 64% 33%
Zeitgeist (Likely To Win) Clinton Trump Too Close
Overall 46% 24% 26%
Democrats 76% 4% 16%
Republicans 18% 49% 29%
Independents 43% 20% 30%